This is a new graph showing the change in "White" stop & frisks over time compared to the change in "Not Innocent" percent over time. ("Not Innocent" means a suspect was arrested or given a summons. It does NOT mean the suspect was "guilty".)
There are almost 4.5 million White people in New York City, about 54% of the City's population. Yet Whites are only the subject of about 9.8% of stop & frisks. Indeed, only about 1.1% of the White population is subject to a stop & frisk in a given year, where as 10.5% of Blacks are. Over the last ten years (2003 to 1012) stop & frisks have been done on the the equivalent of only about 10.5% of Whites, but almost 105% of Blacks. Mayor Bloomberg has stated, "We disproportionately stop whites too much and minorities too little."
However, the correlations between Whites and "Not Innocent" results is a strong 91.1%. The change in White% to change in "Not Innocent"% (ΔW% to Δ!I%) is a very modest 3.1%. The suggestions are that there is a correlation between Whites and "Not Innocent" and thus crime.
And then we come to this graph and, to the eye, we see that the change in 'Not Innocent' percent (Δ!I%) seems to track rather well with the Change in White percent (ΔW%.) Both percents decrease from 2003 to 2004, while the number of stop & frisks increased to a then high of 313,523. In part, this increase may have been caused by the civil disturbances surrounding the Republican Convention in New York City in 2004. In 2005 we see both percents increasing, together, as the number of stop & frisks increased to nearly 400,000. In 2006 the change in White percent increased modestly, while the total number of stop & frisks increased, for the first time over 500,000 and the change in 'Not Innocent" percent to declined to the lowest level (0nly 9.7% of stop & frisks) in the ten year period. In 2007 the two lines increase together, while the 'Not Innocent" percent increase to the second highest percent in the period (13.0%.) They decline together in 2008 then diverge from 2009 to 2012, in spite of the fact that the period high in 'Not Innocent' percent (13.8%) occurs in 2010. Curiously, all three, the 'Not Innocent' percent, change in 'Not Innocent' percent and change in White percent decline in 2011, even though this period includes the Occupy Wall Street protests, that surely involved disturbances among a number of White youths.
Amy Holmes, of Real News on the Blaze, remarked on Thursday, June 27, 2013, that if the NYPD wanted to police crime and give out summons for illegal use of marijuana, all they need do is hang out by the campus & parks of NYU! There are lots of nice white, middle class kids there smoking illegal marijuana! A police officer could easily reach his “productivity goals.” (As Mr. Bloomberg likes to call them. “Quotas” are illegal in New York State.) This is consistent with the "broken window" strategy, outlined in an essay by Wilson and Kelling (1982), "who argued that police responses to disorder were critical to communicate intolerance for crime and to halt its contagious spread." (1)
Surely, justice could be severed by more focus on Whites.
(1) "An Analysis of the New York City Police department's 'Stop-and-Frisk' Policy in Context of Claims of Racial Bias",
Authors: Andrew Gelman, Jeffrey Fagan and Alex Kiss
Journal of the America Statistical Association,
September, 2007, page 814
There are almost 4.5 million White people in New York City, about 54% of the City's population. Yet Whites are only the subject of about 9.8% of stop & frisks. Indeed, only about 1.1% of the White population is subject to a stop & frisk in a given year, where as 10.5% of Blacks are. Over the last ten years (2003 to 1012) stop & frisks have been done on the the equivalent of only about 10.5% of Whites, but almost 105% of Blacks. Mayor Bloomberg has stated, "We disproportionately stop whites too much and minorities too little."
However, the correlations between Whites and "Not Innocent" results is a strong 91.1%. The change in White% to change in "Not Innocent"% (ΔW% to Δ!I%) is a very modest 3.1%. The suggestions are that there is a correlation between Whites and "Not Innocent" and thus crime.
And then we come to this graph and, to the eye, we see that the change in 'Not Innocent' percent (Δ!I%) seems to track rather well with the Change in White percent (ΔW%.) Both percents decrease from 2003 to 2004, while the number of stop & frisks increased to a then high of 313,523. In part, this increase may have been caused by the civil disturbances surrounding the Republican Convention in New York City in 2004. In 2005 we see both percents increasing, together, as the number of stop & frisks increased to nearly 400,000. In 2006 the change in White percent increased modestly, while the total number of stop & frisks increased, for the first time over 500,000 and the change in 'Not Innocent" percent to declined to the lowest level (0nly 9.7% of stop & frisks) in the ten year period. In 2007 the two lines increase together, while the 'Not Innocent" percent increase to the second highest percent in the period (13.0%.) They decline together in 2008 then diverge from 2009 to 2012, in spite of the fact that the period high in 'Not Innocent' percent (13.8%) occurs in 2010. Curiously, all three, the 'Not Innocent' percent, change in 'Not Innocent' percent and change in White percent decline in 2011, even though this period includes the Occupy Wall Street protests, that surely involved disturbances among a number of White youths.
Amy Holmes, of Real News on the Blaze, remarked on Thursday, June 27, 2013, that if the NYPD wanted to police crime and give out summons for illegal use of marijuana, all they need do is hang out by the campus & parks of NYU! There are lots of nice white, middle class kids there smoking illegal marijuana! A police officer could easily reach his “productivity goals.” (As Mr. Bloomberg likes to call them. “Quotas” are illegal in New York State.) This is consistent with the "broken window" strategy, outlined in an essay by Wilson and Kelling (1982), "who argued that police responses to disorder were critical to communicate intolerance for crime and to halt its contagious spread." (1)
Surely, justice could be severed by more focus on Whites.
(1) "An Analysis of the New York City Police department's 'Stop-and-Frisk' Policy in Context of Claims of Racial Bias",
Authors: Andrew Gelman, Jeffrey Fagan and Alex Kiss
Journal of the America Statistical Association,
September, 2007, page 814
RSS Feed
